METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES IN WIND FARMS AND DEVELOPMENT PROJECT OF SHORT TERM ENERGY GENERATION FORECAST SYSTEM

Our country has recently turned towards renewable energy sources. One of the most important parameters for energy generation is to increase the success of short-term forecasts once the potential has been determined. Discontinuity is one of the greatest risks in these sources. For this reason, energy forecasts of these sources are urgently needed.

Software developed abroad is used by companies in our country. This situation clearly shows that energy sector in our country is dependent on abroad.

Thanks to the developed models and software, an important knowledge and material resource will remain in Turkey. Considering our external dependency on energy sources such as natural gas and oil, Turkey is also dependent on foreign source in terms of forecasting and planning in wind and solar energy fields. Therefore, local modeling of renewable energy sources is a need and necessity. In addition to general planning, planning of daily energy generation is very important. Market Financial Settlement Center (PUMUM) distributes the daily energy demand to its energy resources. This distribution varies according to the commitment of energy resources. Accordingly, PUMUM plans to generate the necessary energy from the country’s sources.

The main objective of this project is to establish a system that can continuously and accurately obtain the generation of renewable energy resources with short-term forecasts. In the first part of the system, wind energy and short-term forecasts will be projected. In the second part, it is aimed to create a model that provides successfully short term forecast on a point basis of the meteorological variables in especially the energy sector and other sectors.

When this unique system dependent on domestic resources is established in our country, Market Financial Settlement Center (PMUM) regulations will be taken into consideration.

Current forecasts made by foreign companies and strategic information flowing out of the country will remain in our country with this project.