COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT PROJECT FOR THE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE AND CLIMATE CHANGE FOR TURKEY AND ITS HOT SPOTS

Observations show that the climate is getting warm. The warming of the climate cause melting in glaciers, shrinking in snow cover, rise in sea level and change in precipitation patterns. Assessment reports (eg, IPCC, 2007, 2013) of The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicate that the Mediterranean basin is one of the most vulnerable regions against climate change. Its main reason is that the water resources of this region will reduce in the future. All model-based climate change projections predict a decrease in precipitation for the Mediterranean basin in the future. It is estimated that Turkey, a Mediterranean country, will inevitably be affected by this change.

The purpose of this project is to exhibit the climate change image of Turkey in general and hot spots such as Istanbul, Konya basin, GAP (Southeastern Anatolia Project) region in particular within a format which can be easily understood by using all available data sets. In this study, all available global and regional model simulations carried out with all scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5) will be assessed together and the uncertainty of the results will be reduced.

Simplified graphics and maps will enable the results to be better understood by both broad public and decision-makers. The effects of climate change on Turkey's resources and the leading sectors will be discussed and the recommendations will be offered to reduce these effects with adaptation.

This project aims to investigate Turkey and its hot spots in terms of climate change, to analyze effects of climate change in terms of national and regional resources and sectors, and offer the recommendations for adaptation to the fight against climate change. The climate change and its effects for Turkey and hot spots will be clearly, accurately and consistently exhibited through comprehensive and detailed analysis by taking advantage of the studies conducted and the existing data sets at the maximum level.

Some studies conducted under this project are as follows:

• Assessment Report of Istanbul Climate Change Scenarios [MAVİ SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR KALKINMA PROJE VE DANIŞMANLIK HİZMETLERİ]